A Preplanned Multi-Stage Platform Trial for Discovering Multiple Superior Treatments With Control of FWER and Power

Peter Greenstreet1,2, Thomas Jaki3,4, Alun Bedding5

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.

Insights

This study presents a multi-stage platform trial design for adding new treatments while controlling error rates. It details sample size calculations, showing platform trials may not always offer benefits over separate trials when controlling family-wise error rates.

Area of Science:

  • Clinical Trials
  • Biostatistics
  • Statistical Methodology

Background:

  • Platform trials offer flexibility in adding/removing treatment arms and early stopping.
  • Controlling error rates, particularly family-wise error rate (FWER), is crucial in complex trial designs.
  • Existing methods may not adequately address sample size and error control when new arms are added sequentially.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce a pre-planned multi-stage design for platform trials allowing sequential addition of treatment arms.
  • Develop methods to maintain family-wise error rate control throughout the trial.
  • Determine sample size requirements for achieving desired statistical power, even after a superior treatment is identified.

Main Methods:

  • Propose a multi-stage statistical design for platform trials.
  • Derive calculations for expected sample size.
  • Evaluate the design using a motivating clinical trial example and compare configurations.

Main Results:

  • The proposed design enables sequential addition of treatment arms while preserving family-wise error rate control.
  • Sample size calculations are provided for various scenarios, including continued testing after superiority is found.
  • Comparisons suggest platform trials may not always yield sample size benefits over multiple separate trials when FWER control is required.

Conclusions:

  • The developed multi-stage design offers a structured approach to flexible platform trials with robust error control.
  • Understanding sample size implications is key for efficient platform trial implementation.
  • The findings highlight the need for careful consideration of platform trial advantages versus traditional designs based on specific statistical goals like FWER control.

Related Concept Videos

Comparing the Survival Analysis of Two or More Groups01:20

Comparing the Survival Analysis of Two or More Groups

Survival analysis is a cornerstone of medical research, used to evaluate the time until an event of interest occurs, such as death, disease recurrence, or recovery. Unlike standard statistical methods, survival analysis is particularly adept at handling censored data—instances where the event has not occurred for some participants by the end of the study or remains unobserved. To address these unique challenges, specialized techniques like the Kaplan-Meier estimator, log-rank test, and...
149
Types of Biopharmaceutical Studies: Controlled and Non-Controlled Approaches01:23

Types of Biopharmaceutical Studies: Controlled and Non-Controlled Approaches

Biopharmaceutical studies constitute a vital field aiming to enhance drug delivery methods and refine therapeutic approaches, drawing upon diverse interdisciplinary knowledge. In research methodologies, the choice between controlled and non-controlled studies significantly influences the study's reliability and accuracy.
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
120
Hazard Ratio01:12

Hazard Ratio

The hazard ratio (HR) is a widely used measure in clinical trials to compare the risk of events, such as death or disease recurrence, between two groups over time. It reflects the ratio of hazard rates—the instantaneous risk of the event occurring—between a treatment group and a control group. This measure provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of a treatment by assessing how the risk of an event differs between the two groups.
For example, in a clinical trial...
87
Kaplan-Meier Approach01:24

Kaplan-Meier Approach

The Kaplan-Meier estimator is a non-parametric method used to estimate the survival function from time-to-event data. In medical research, it is frequently employed to measure the proportion of patients surviving for a certain period after treatment. This estimator is fundamental in analyzing time-to-event data, making it indispensable in clinical trials, epidemiological studies, and reliability engineering. By estimating survival probabilities, researchers can evaluate treatment effectiveness,...
94