Positive predictive value of congenital heart disease diagnostic codes in the Danish National Patient Registry

Sara S Schwartz1, Mette Gb Pedersen1,2, Trine Frøslev1

  • 1Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Olof Palmes Allé 43-45, Aarhus, Denmark.

Insights

The Danish National Patient Registry shows a high positive predictive value (PPV) for congenital heart disease (CHD) diagnoses. However, PPVs for specific CHD subtypes were lower, indicating potential data limitations for detailed epidemiological research.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Congenital heart disease (CHD) is a significant public health issue, being the most common birth defect with increasing adult prevalence.
  • Accurate data on CHD is crucial for effective clinical and epidemiological research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the positive predictive value (PPV) of congenital heart disease (CHD) diagnoses and related surgeries recorded in the Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR).
  • To evaluate diagnostic validity using predefined exclusion criteria for ICD-8 and ICD-10 codes.

Main Methods:

  • A sample of 480 patients with CHD diagnoses in Central Jutland (1977-2013) was randomly selected.
  • Medical record review served as the reference standard to compute PPVs for CHD diagnoses, subtypes, and surgeries.
  • Reviews were conducted by blinded pediatric cardiology nurses, with cardiologist consultation for uncertainties.

Main Results:

  • Medical records were reviewed for 463 patients (96% of the sample).
  • The overall PPV for CHD diagnoses in the DNPR was high at 95.5% (95% CI: 93.3-97.1).
  • PPVs for specific CHD subtypes were generally lower (e.g., 69% for atrial septal defect), and the PPV for CHD-related surgery codes was 92.7%.

Conclusions:

  • The Danish National Patient Registry demonstrates high overall accuracy for congenital heart disease diagnoses.
  • Lower PPVs for specific CHD subtypes suggest limitations for detailed subtype epidemiological studies using registry data.
Abstract

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