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Long-term survival in patients with univentricular heart: A nationwide, register-based cohort study
Ayse-Gül Öztürk1,2, Mikael Dellborg3, Anna Damlin4,5
1Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Insights
Children with univentricular heart (UVH) face significantly higher mortality risks, over 50 times greater than controls. While survival has improved for UVH patients born more recently, those with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) still have a less than 75% survival rate.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Cardiology
- Congenital Heart Disease Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Univentricular heart (UVH) conditions significantly limit life expectancy without timely intervention.
- Long-term survival data for univentricular heart patients in a comprehensive, unselected national cohort remain largely undefined.
- Understanding survival trends is crucial for improving patient outcomes and healthcare strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To ascertain the long-term survival rates of patients diagnosed with univentricular heart (UVH).
- To compare survival outcomes in UVH patients, including those not surgically treated, against a general population control group in Sweden.
- To analyze survival trends over time based on decade of birth.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Swedish National Registers to identify 5075 patients with UVH born between 1970 and 2017.
- Matched each UVH patient with 10 control individuals of the same birth year and sex without congenital heart disease.
- Employed Cox proportional regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for mortality risk estimation, with follow-up until death or transplantation.
Main Results:
- The overall mortality risk for UVH patients was over 53 times higher than for controls (Hazard Ratio 53.0).
- Patients with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) faced an even greater mortality risk (Hazard Ratio 163.5).
- First-year survival improved significantly for both UVH and HLHS patients born in later decades, though HLHS survival remained below 75%.
Conclusions:
- Patients with UVH exhibit a substantially elevated mortality risk compared to the general population.
- Survival rates for UVH patients have improved over successive birth decades, indicating progress in treatment and care.
- Despite improvements, long-term survival for patients with HLHS remains a critical concern, necessitating continued research and therapeutic advancements.
Background:
Children with univentricular heart (UVH) have a limited life expectancy without early treatment. Long-term survival in UVH, in an unselected nationwide cohort, is unclear.
Objectives:
To determine long-term survival in patients with UVH including non-operated patients compared with a control population in Sweden.
Methods:
Patients with UVH born between 1970 and 2017 were identified from the National Registers and were matched for birth year and sex with 10 individuals without congenital heart disease. Follow-up was from birth until death, transplantation, or the end of study. Mortality risk was estimated by Cox proportional regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.
Results:
We included 5075 patients with UVH including 758 (14.9%) patients with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS), and 50,620 matched controls. Median follow-up time was 13.6 (IQR 0.7; 26.8) years. The hazard ratio for death in patients with UVH was 53.0 (95% confidence interval, 48.0-58.6), and for HLHS, 163.5 (95% CI, 124.3-215.2). In patients with HLHS, 84% of those who were born between 1982 and 1993 died or had transplantation during the first year of life compared with 29% born between 2006 and 2017. In patients with UVH without HLHS, death/transplantation in the first year of life declined from 36% in those born between 1970 and 1981 to 8.7% in those born between 2006 and 2017.
Conclusions:
The risk of mortality was >50 times higher in patients with UVH than in controls. The survival rate increased with a later decade of birth but was still <75% in patients born with HLHS.
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