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The fraction of cancer attributable to modifiable risk factors in Turkey in 2018
1Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health, Division of Epidemiology, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey.
Abstract:
Cancer is the second leading cause of death in Turkey, with nearly one in six deaths attributed to the disease. In 2018, Turkey recorded 211,273 new cancer cases. Many cancers are linked to modifiable lifestyle risk factors, such as tobacco use, alcohol consumption, obesity, and inadequate diet and physical activity. Modifying these risk factors could potentially prevent 30%-50% of cancer cases and deaths. This study aims to estimate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of cancer cases and deaths due to various modifiable risk factors in Turkey. Modifiable cancer risk factors were identified as smoking, infections, obesity, physical inactivity, alcohol consumption, inadequate intake of fruits, vegetables, fiber, and calcium. Data on exposure prevalence and cancer incidence were sourced from national surveys and reports. Relative risks (RRs) were obtained from global studies. PAFs were calculated using Levin's equation, accounting for overlaps between risk factors. In 2018, 32% of the cancer cases were attributable to lifestyle risk factors. Smoking was the most significant factor, accounting for 28.4% of cases in men, while high BMI was the leading factor in women, contributing to 11.5% of cases. Lifestyle risk factors were responsible for 41.6% of cancer deaths, with smoking being the leading cause. Lifestyle risk factors contribute significantly to cancer incidence and mortality in Turkey. Prioritizing interventions to reduce tobacco use and obesity could substantially lower the cancer burden. These results are crucial for developing effective cancer prevention strategies and informing public health policies.
Insights
Lifestyle factors like smoking and obesity significantly contribute to cancer cases and deaths in Turkey. Addressing these modifiable risks could prevent a substantial portion of the cancer burden, informing public health strategies.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Cancer Research
Background:
- Cancer is a leading cause of death in Turkey, with significant mortality linked to modifiable lifestyle factors.
- Approximately 30%-50% of cancer cases and deaths may be preventable through lifestyle modifications.
- Understanding the population attributable fraction (PAF) of these factors is crucial for targeted prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of cancer cases and deaths attributed to modifiable lifestyle risk factors in Turkey.
- To identify the most impactful risk factors for cancer incidence and mortality in the Turkish population.
- To provide evidence for developing effective cancer prevention strategies and public health policies.
Main Methods:
- Identified modifiable cancer risk factors including smoking, infections, obesity, physical inactivity, alcohol, and dietary factors.
- Utilized national survey data for exposure prevalence and cancer incidence, with relative risks from global studies.
- Calculated population attributable fractions (PAFs) using Levin's equation, incorporating overlaps between risk factors.
Main Results:
- In 2018, 32% of cancer cases and 41.6% of cancer deaths in Turkey were attributable to modifiable lifestyle factors.
- Smoking was the leading risk factor for cancer cases in men (28.4%), while high Body Mass Index (BMI) led in women (11.5%).
- Smoking was identified as the primary contributor to cancer mortality across the population.
Conclusions:
- Modifiable lifestyle factors represent a significant burden of cancer incidence and mortality in Turkey.
- Interventions targeting tobacco use and obesity are critical for reducing the overall cancer burden.
- The findings underscore the importance of evidence-based strategies for cancer prevention and public health policy in Turkey.
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