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MASLD Is Associated With an Increased Long-Term Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Systematic Review and
Alessandro Mantovani1, Riccardo Morandin1, Elena Sani1
1Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
Background:
Studies have reported an association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the magnitude of the risk and whether this risk varies with the severity of MASLD remains uncertain.
Methods:
In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched three large electronic databases using predefined keywords to identify cohort studies (published up to 30 September 2024) in which MASLD was diagnosed by liver biopsy, imaging methods, International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, or blood-based scores. The primary outcome was the occurrence of AF based on ICD codes, medical records, or electrocardiograms. Meta-analysis was performed using random-effects modelling.
Results:
We identified 16 retrospective cohort studies with aggregate data on ~19.5 million individuals followed for a median of 7.2 years. MASLD was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing incident AF (random-effects hazard ratio 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.32; I2 = 92%). This risk did not appear to further increase with the severity of liver fibrosis (n = 3 studies; random-effects hazard ratio 1.22, 95% CI 1.18-1.26; I2 = 10%). The risk of AF remained significant even after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, Type 2 diabetes or other cardiometabolic risk factors. Sensitivity analyses did not modify these findings. The funnel plot and Egger's test showed no significant publication bias.
Conclusions:
This updated and comprehensive meta-analysis provides evidence that MASLD is significantly associated with an increased long-term risk of developing incident AF. Further research is required to better decipher the link between MASLD and increased AF incidence.
Insights
Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) significantly increases the long-term risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). This association remained consistent across studies, highlighting a critical link between liver health and cardiac conditions.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hepatology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasingly recognized as a significant health concern.
- Previous studies suggest a link between MASLD and an elevated risk of atrial fibrillation (AF).
- The precise magnitude of this risk and its correlation with MASLD severity require further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and meta-analyze existing cohort studies to quantify the association between MASLD and incident AF.
- To determine if the severity of liver fibrosis in MASLD influences the risk of developing AF.
- To provide updated evidence on the long-term risk of AF in individuals with MASLD.
Main Methods:
- A systematic search of three major electronic databases was conducted for cohort studies published up to September 2024.
- Studies included MASLD diagnosed via liver biopsy, imaging, ICD codes, or blood scores.
- Meta-analysis employed random-effects modeling to assess the primary outcome of AF occurrence.
Main Results:
- The analysis included 16 retrospective cohort studies encompassing approximately 19.5 million individuals.
- MASLD was significantly associated with a 20% increased risk of incident AF (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.32).
- No significant increase in AF risk was observed with advancing liver fibrosis severity, and the association persisted after adjusting for cardiometabolic risk factors.
Conclusions:
- This meta-analysis confirms a significant association between MASLD and an increased long-term risk of developing AF.
- The findings underscore the importance of considering cardiac health in patients with MASLD.
- Further research is warranted to elucidate the underlying mechanisms connecting MASLD and AF incidence.
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