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World-making for a future with sentient AI.

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This summary is machine-generated.

Public expectations for artificial intelligence (AI) futures shape world-making. This study analyzed AI futures beliefs, finding psychological factors significantly influence forecasts about AI sentience and its societal impact.

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Area of Science:

  • Social Psychology
  • Artificial Intelligence Studies
  • Future Studies

Background:

  • Public imagination of artificial intelligence (AI) futures influences societal development.
  • Empirical research on public expectations for AI futures remains limited.
  • Understanding public forecasts is crucial for navigating AI's societal integration.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To empirically investigate everyday people's expectations for AI futures.
  • To analyze public forecasts regarding a future with widespread artificial intelligence sentience.
  • To identify demographic and psychological predictors of these AI future expectations.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of two waves (2021, 2023) of USA nationally representative data from the Artificial Intelligence, Morality, and Sentience (AIMS) survey (N=2401).
  • Examined public forecasts on six key aspects of a future with AI sentience.
  • Utilized regression analyses to assess the impact of demographics, psychological traits, and current AI attitudes on future expectations.

Main Results:

  • Public expectations for humanity's future with AI sentience were mixed across various forecasts.
  • Mind perception, anthropomorphism, and political orientation significantly affected all analyzed forecasts.
  • Techno-animist beliefs showed significant influence on five out of six forecasts.

Conclusions:

  • Dynamic social psychological factors significantly shape expectations for AI futures.
  • These evolving expectations, in turn, influence societal world-making processes related to AI.
  • Future societal outcomes with AI will depend on these psychological and social dynamics.