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Exploring Early Kinetic Profiles of CEA, ctDNA and cfDNA in Patients With RAS-/BRAF-Mutated Metastatic Colorectal
Julian Hamfjord1, Tormod Kyrre Guren2, Bengt Glimelius3
1Department of Oncology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway; Department of Cancer Genetics, Institute for Cancer Research, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway; Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Early changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) during chemotherapy predict outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This blood marker shows prognostic value, potentially guiding treatment decisions for mCRC patients.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Molecular Diagnostics
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients exhibit varied responses to first-line chemotherapy.
- Early identification of non-responders can facilitate timely second-line therapy initiation.
- Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is the current standard blood marker for mCRC monitoring.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the early kinetics of CEA, cfDNA, and ctDNA during first-line chemotherapy in mCRC.
- To investigate the association of these markers with treatment response, PFS, and OS.
- To evaluate ctDNA as a potential surrogate for oncological outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 40 RAS-/BRAF-mutated mCRC patients from the NORDIC-VII trial.
- Development of a model to assess early on-treatment kinetics (e.g., percentage change, slope, AUC).
- Correlation of marker dynamics with radiological response and survival endpoints.
Main Results:
- Early ctDNA dynamics, particularly at day 49 (P49) and slope (S49), correlated with radiological response and PFS.
- ctDNA showed faster and more pronounced changes than CEA.
- Failure to achieve molecular ctDNA response by week 8 was associated with significantly shorter PFS and OS.
Conclusions:
- Early ctDNA dynamics during first-line chemotherapy possess prognostic value in mCRC.
- Suggests prospective validation of a ctDNA-based RECIST framework in clinical practice.
- Highlights ctDNA's potential as a sensitive biomarker for treatment response and outcomes.
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