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Published on: May 21, 2017
Comparison of Outcomes Between Low-Risk Aortic Valve Replacement Trials and a Surgical Registry
Makoto Mori1,2, Kayoko Shioda3,4, Christina Waldron1
1Division of Cardiac Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Insights
Surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in real-world settings showed similar 30-day mortality but lower stroke rates compared to low-risk trials like PARTNER 3 and Evolut Low Risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Surgery
- Interventional Cardiology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Outcomes of low-risk aortic valve replacement trials may not fully represent real-world surgical results.
- Concomitant cardiac operations add complexity to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) outcomes in non-trial settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare 30-day mortality and stroke rates between patients undergoing SAVR in a national surgical database and those in low-risk aortic valve replacement trials.
- To assess the generalizability of findings from the PARTNER 3 and Evolut Low Risk trials to a broader surgical population.
Main Methods:
- A cross-sectional study used the US Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (STS ACSD) from 2016-2018.
- Probability-based sampling created 1000 patient cohorts from the STS ACSD, matched to trial participants' predicted risk of mortality (PROM).
- 30-day mortality and stroke rates from sampled STS ACSD cohorts were compared to the SAVR arms of the PARTNER 3 and Evolut Low Risk trials.
Main Results:
- The study analyzed 25,811 low-risk patients undergoing SAVR, with a mean age of 71 years and 65% male.
- The sampled STS ACSD cohorts had a mean 30-day mortality of 1.39%, comparable to PARTNER 3 (1.1%) and Evolut Low Risk (1.3%).
- The stroke rate in sampled cohorts was 1.25%, significantly lower than in PARTNER 3 (2.4%) and Evolut Low Risk (3.4%).
Conclusions:
- Real-world SAVR in low-risk patients demonstrated 30-day mortality comparable to major clinical trials.
- Incidence of stroke was lower in the real-world SAVR cohort compared to trial data.
- Findings suggest that the outcomes reported in low-risk SAVR trials are generalizable to the broader national surgical population.
Importance:
It remains unknown whether outcomes of the Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valves 3 (PARTNER 3) and Evolut Low Risk trials are comparable with surgical outcomes in nontrial settings, considering the added risk of concomitant cardiac operations.
Objective:
To compare 30-day mortality and stroke incidences of patients in the surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) arm of low-risk trials with those of similar patients in the US Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (STS ACSD).
Design, Setting, And Participants:
A cross-sectional sampling study was conducted of adults in the STS ACSD with severe aortic stenosis at low surgical risk for AVR who underwent SAVR during the years low-risk AVR trials (PARTNER 3 and Evolut Low Risk) were enrolling (calendar years 2016-2018). After trial exclusion criteria were applied, 1000 samples were created, each including 1000 patients selected from the STS ACSD according to the likelihood-based selection probabilities to achieve similar STS predicted risk of mortality (PROM) distribution to the trial participants. The distribution of 30-day mortality and stroke rates among these samples were compared with the results from the trials. The analysis was conducted between October 2, 2023, and May 27, 2024.
Main Outcomes And Measures:
The main outcomes were 30-day postoperative mortality and stroke.
Results:
Among 25 811 patients at low risk undergoing SAVR, the mean (SD) age was 71 (7) years, including 650 220 men (65%). The probability-based sampling yielded a trial-like sample with STS PROM (mean [SD], 1.9% [0.6%]) and concomitant coronary artery bypass graft surgery frequencies of 13%, comparable with the trials. Among the sampled cohorts, the mean (SD) 30-day mortality rate was 1.39% (0.38%) which was not significantly different from the mortality rate in PARTNER 3 (1.1%) (P = .83) and Evolut Low Risk (1.3%) (P = .65). The stroke rate was 1.25% (0.36%), significantly lower than PARTNER 3 (2.4%) (P = .002) and Evolut Low Risk (3.4%) (P < .001).
Conclusions And Relevance:
In this cross-sectional study, the national samples of low-risk trial-like patients undergoing SAVR during the trial enrollment period had similar 30-day mortality but a lower incidence of stroke compared with the SAVR arm of both low-risk trials. These findings overall suggest that the low-risk trial findings may be generalizable to the broader national SAVR cohort.
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