Flooding and emergency department visits: Effect modification by the CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)/Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) is a census-based metric that includes 15 socioeconomic and demographic factors split into four themes relevant to disaster planning, response, and recovery. Using CDC/ATSDR SVI, health outcomes, and remote sensing data, we sought to understand the differences in the occurrence of overall and cause-specific emergency department (ED) visits before and after a 2017 flood event in Texas following Hurricane Harvey, modified by different levels of social vulnerability. We used a controlled before-after study design to estimate the association between flooding and overall and cause-specific ED visits after adjusting for the baseline period, seasonal trends, and individual-level characteristics. We estimated rate ratios stratified by CDC/ATSDR SVI quartiles (overall and 4 themes separately) and tested for the presence of effect modification. Positive effect modification was found such that total ED visits from flooded census tracts with moderate, high, and very high levels of social vulnerability were less reduced compared to tracts with the least vulnerability during flooding and the month following the flood event. The CDC/ATSDR SVI socioeconomic status theme, household composition and disability theme, and housing and transportation type theme explained this result. We found predominantly negative effect modification with higher ED visits among tracts with the least vulnerability for ED visits related to insect bites, dehydration, and intestinal infectious diseases.