Introducing and Validating the Multiphasic Evidential Decision-Making Matrix (MedMax) for Clinical Management in...

Background: Despite the significant advancements of liver surgery in the last few decades, the survival rate of patients with liver and pancreatic cancers has improved by only 10% in 30 years. Precision medicine offers a patient-centered approach, which, when combined with machine learning, could enhance decision making and treatment outcomes in surgical management of ihCC. This study aims to develop a decision support model to optimize treatment strategies for patients with ihCC, a prevalent primary liver cancer. Methods: The decision support model, named MedMax, was developed using three data sources: studies retrieved through a systematic literature review, expert opinions from HPB surgeons, and data from ihCC patients treated at Heidelberg University Hospital. Expert opinions were collected via surveys, with factors rated on a Likert scale, while patient data were used to validate the model's accuracy. Results: The model is structured into four decision-making phases, assessing diagnosis, treatment modality, surgical approach, and prognosis. Prospectively, 44 patients with ihCC were included for internal primary validation of the model. MedMax could predict the appropriate treatment considering the resectability of the lesions in 100% of patients. Also, MedMax could predict a decent surgical approach in 77% of the patients. The model proved effective in making decisions regarding surgery and patient management, demonstrating its potential as a clinical decision support tool. Conclusions: MedMax offers a transparent, personalized approach to decision making in HPB surgery, particularly for ihCC patients. Initial results show high accuracy in treatment selection, and the model's flexibility allows for future expansion to other liver tumors and HPB surgeries. Further validation with larger patient cohorts is required to enhance its clinical utility.