Phenotypic antibiotic resistance prediction using antibiotic resistance genes and machine learning models in

Carmen L Wickware1, Audrey C Ellis1, Mohit Verma2

  • 1Purdue University, Department of Animal Sciences, West Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.

Veterinary Microbiology
|January 12, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Antibiotic resistance in Mannheimia haemolytica is a growing concern for bovine respiratory disease (BRD). This study found that known antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) are more accurate than machine learning for predicting resistance, supporting their continued use in BRD treatment strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Veterinary Microbiology
  • Antimicrobial Resistance
  • Genomics

Background:

  • Mannheimia haemolytica is a primary cause of bovine respiratory disease (BRD).
  • Increasing antibiotic resistance in M. haemolytica complicates BRD treatment.
  • Integrative-conjugative elements (ICE) contribute to multidrug resistance in M. haemolytica.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the accuracy of genotype-phenotype concordance for predicting antibiotic resistance in M. haemolytica.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of annotated antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) versus machine learning (ML) models.
  • To assess the utility of ARGs for predicting phenotypic resistance in BRD pathogens.

Main Methods:

  • Genomic annotation of known antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs).
  • Development and testing of machine learning (ML) models for de novo prediction of antibiotic resistance determinants.
  • Comparison of genotype-phenotype concordance rates for ARGs and ML models across seven antibiotics.
  • Validation of predictive models on an external set of isolates.

Main Results:

  • Genotype-phenotype concordance rates for ARGs were generally >90%, outperforming ML models (>80%).
  • ARGs provided more accurate predictions than ML models for all seven tested antibiotics.
  • ML models identified diverse genetic elements, including coding, non-coding, MGE, and virulence genes, associated with resistance.
  • Models incorporating novel ARGs and single nucleotide polymorphisms improved concordance rates for specific antibiotics.

Conclusions:

  • Known antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) are reliable predictors of phenotypic resistance in Mannheimia haemolytica.
  • The study supports the continued use of ARGs for predicting and managing antibiotic resistance in BRD.
  • Further research into novel ARGs and genetic elements can enhance resistance prediction accuracy.