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July effect in hospitalized cirrhosis patients: A US nationwide study using difference-in-differences analysis
Melis Gokce Celdir1, George Wehby2,3, Shahana Prakash4
1Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States of America.
Physician turnover in July did not increase mortality for cirrhosis patients but did lengthen hospital stays. Effective supervision and operational strategies are needed to manage trainee transitions in teaching hospitals.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Healthcare Management
- Clinical Outcomes Research
Background:
- The "July effect" in US teaching hospitals is debated, with prior studies yielding conflicting results.
- Physician turnover, particularly in July, may impact patient care quality.
- Evaluating this effect in patients with cirrhosis is crucial due to their complex needs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the impact of physician turnover in July on clinical outcomes for hospitalized cirrhosis patients.
- To compare mortality and length of stay (LOS) between teaching and non-teaching hospitals during July.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Nationwide Inpatient Sample database (2016-2019).
- Identified patients with cirrhosis and liver-related complications (variceal bleeding, hepatorenal syndrome, acute-on-chronic liver failure).
- Employed difference-in-differences analysis comparing May and July outcomes, and analyzed trends in other months.
Main Results:
- No significant difference in mortality was observed between teaching and non-teaching hospitals for cirrhotic patients.
- Teaching hospitals showed a greater increase in length of stay (LOS) in July compared to May, relative to non-teaching hospitals.
- Increased LOS in teaching hospitals persisted in months following July, gradually diminishing over time.
Conclusions:
- July physician turnover did not elevate mortality rates for cirrhosis patients.
- However, it was associated with prolonged hospital stays (LOS) in teaching hospitals.
- Highlights the need for enhanced supervision and operational strategies to manage trainee transitions and mitigate disruptions in patient care.
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