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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Cost-consequence analysis of early vs. delayed natalizumab use in highly active relapsing-remitting multiple
Hernan Inojosa1, Dirk Schriefer1, Nils-Henning Ness2
1Department of Neurology, Center of Clinical Neuroscience, University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Fetscherstr. 74, 01307, Dresden, Germany.
Starting natalizumab (NAT) early for multiple sclerosis (MS) improves clinical outcomes and employment, while reducing societal costs compared to delayed treatment. Early initiation of NAT offers long-term economic benefits.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacoeconomics
- Neurology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Natalizumab (NAT) is an effective disease-modifying therapy (DMT) for highly active multiple sclerosis (MS).
- Complex decision-making often leads to initial use of less effective therapies.
- The availability of a biosimilar NAT allows for competitive pricing, influencing treatment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the societal implications of initiating natalizumab (NAT) in multiple sclerosis (MS) treatment.
- To compare different NAT initiation scenarios (continuous, early switch, delayed switch) using a cost-consequence analysis.
Main Methods:
- A 10-year Markov model utilizing the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) with 11 health states was employed.
- Natalizumab was compared against common initial DMTs (glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, dimethyl fumarate, fingolimod).
- Scenarios included continuous NAT use, switching to NAT after 1 year, and switching after 5 years.
Main Results:
- Continuous NAT use maximized time spent at lower EDSS levels, reduced relapses, and improved employment rates over 10 years.
- Switching to NAT after 1 year demonstrated outcomes comparable to continuous NAT use.
- Despite higher initial DMT costs, continuous and early NAT use led to lower overall disease management costs, including indirect and non-DMT medical costs.
Conclusions:
- Continuous and early initiation of natalizumab (NAT) in multiple sclerosis (MS) yields superior clinical outcomes.
- Early NAT use significantly lowers the overall societal economic burden compared to delayed initiation.
- These findings suggest potential for substantial long-term cost savings with earlier adoption of NAT.
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