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Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality after Emergency Laparotomy Using Glasgow Coma Scale, ASA Physical Status
Muhammad Asif1,2, Saeed Bin Ayaz, Faran Hamid1,2
1Department of General and Laparoscopic Surgery, Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan Hospital Muzaffarabad, Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan.
The ASA Physical Status Classification System and P-POSSUM score effectively predict mortality in emergency laparotomy patients. The Glasgow Coma Scale was less effective in this analysis.
Area of Science:
- General Surgery
- Surgical Outcomes
- Patient Prognosis
Background:
- Emergency laparotomies carry significant risks.
- Predicting mortality is crucial for patient management.
- The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), ASA physical status classification system, and P-POSSUM score are potential predictors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive importance of GCS, ASA classification, and P-POSSUM score for mortality in emergency laparotomy patients.
Main Methods:
- An analytical study was conducted on patients undergoing emergency laparotomies.
- Exclusions included trauma, re-do surgeries, and specific procedures (appendectomies, etc.).
- GCS, ASA, and P-POSSUM scores were categorized and analyzed for correlation with mortality.
Main Results:
- Out of 50 patients, 12 (24%) died. Mortality increased with higher P-POSSUM scores, lower GCS scores, and higher ASA classes (p <0.001).
- P-POSSUM demonstrated the highest predictive performance (0.987), followed by ASA (0.951).
- GCS showed lower predictive value (0.411).
Conclusions:
- The ASA Physical Status Classification System and P-POSSUM scoring are significant predictors of mortality following emergency laparotomy.
- These scoring systems can aid in risk stratification and patient management.
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