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Published on: June 2, 2023
GLP-1RA Use and Thyroid Cancer Risk
Juan P Brito1,2, Jeph Herrin3, Kavya Sindhu Swarna4,5
1Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, and Nutrition, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Importance:
The increasing use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) demands a better understanding of their association with thyroid cancer.
Objective:
To estimate the risk of incident thyroid cancer among adults with type 2 diabetes being treated with GLP-1RA vs other common glucose-lowering medications.
Design, Setting, And Participants:
This was a prespecified secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study using claims data for enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee-for-service plans across the US. Eligible participants were adults with type 2 diabetes at moderate risk for cardiovascular disease and without history of thyroid cancer who had newly filled prescriptions for GLP-1RA, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i), or sulfonylurea from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021. Data were analyzed February 1 to October 31, 2024.
Main Outcomes And Measures:
Overall and piecewise (<1, 1-2, and ≥2 years since treatment initiation) hazard ratios (HRs) for thyroid cancer with use of GLP-1RA vs the other 3 drug classes were estimated using inverse propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT) (primary) and as-treated (sensitivity) analyses were performed.
Results:
Of 351 913 patients (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [8.5] years; 173 391 [49.3%] females and 178 522 [50.7%] males), 41 112 started treatment with GLP-1RA; 76 093, with DPP4i; 43 499, with SGLT2i; and 191 209, with sulfonylurea therapy. The numbers of patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer were 69 (0.17%) in the GLP-1RA group, 172 (0.23%) in the DPP4i group, 72 (0.17%) in the SGLT2i group, and 381 (0.20%) in the sulfonylurea group. In the mITT analysis, GLP-1RA initiation was not significantly associated with increased overall risk for thyroid cancer compared to the other 3 diabetes drugs (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88-1.76). However, the risk for thyroid cancer was significantly higher within the first year after GLP-1RA initiation (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.11-3.08) and was amplified in the overall as-treated analysis that censored patients when therapy was discontinued or another medication was added (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.10-3.95).
Conclusions And Relevance:
This secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study found that despite the low absolute risk of thyroid cancer among patients receiving GLP-1RA therapy, there was an increased risk of new thyroid cancer diagnoses within the first year of GLP-1RA initiation compared to 3 other diabetes drugs. This finding may have been due to enhanced early detection; therefore, further research is necessary to understand the underlying causes of this association.
Insights
Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) showed no overall increased thyroid cancer risk in type 2 diabetes patients. However, a higher risk was observed within the first year of GLP-1RA use, possibly due to early detection.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Oncology
- Pharmacovigilance
Background:
- The widespread use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) necessitates a thorough understanding of their potential association with thyroid cancer.
- Existing research has yielded conflicting results regarding the link between GLP-1RA and thyroid malignancies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the risk of incident thyroid cancer in adults with type 2 diabetes treated with GLP-1RA compared to other common glucose-lowering medications.
- To analyze the association between GLP-1RA use and thyroid cancer risk across different time intervals post-treatment initiation.
Main Methods:
- A secondary analysis using a target trial emulation approach with US claims data from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021.
- Included adults with type 2 diabetes initiating treatment with GLP-1RA, SGLT2 inhibitors, DPP4 inhibitors, or sulfonylureas.
- Inverse propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for thyroid cancer.
Main Results:
- The study included 351,913 patients; 41,112 initiated GLP-1RA therapy.
- GLP-1RA initiation was not significantly associated with an increased overall risk of thyroid cancer compared to other drug classes (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88-1.76).
- A significantly higher risk of thyroid cancer was observed within the first year of GLP-1RA initiation (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.11-3.08), amplified in as-treated analyses.
Conclusions:
- While the absolute risk of thyroid cancer remains low, GLP-1RA therapy may be associated with an increased risk of new thyroid cancer diagnoses within the first year of use.
- This early increased risk might be attributed to enhanced detection of pre-existing or early-stage thyroid cancers.
- Further research is warranted to elucidate the mechanisms behind this observed association and its clinical implications.
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