MRI-based modelling of left atrial flow and coagulation to predict risk of thrombogenesis in atrial fibrillation

Ahmed Qureshi1, Paolo Melidoro1, Maximilian Balmus1

  • 1School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King's College London, UK.

Medical Image Analysis
|January 26, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients need better stroke risk assessment. This study uses computational modeling to create a new score, revealing risks missed by current clinical tools, improving personalized prevention.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Research
  • Medical Imaging
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) affects millions globally, increasing stroke risk.
  • Current clinical scores inadequately capture thrombotic mechanisms in AF patients.
  • Left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombi are primary sources of AF-related strokes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop an advanced risk stratification score for thrombus formation in AF patients.
  • To integrate biophysical computational modeling with clinical data for personalized stroke risk assessment.
  • To address limitations of existing scores like CHA₂DS₂-VASc in mechanistic insights.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized high-resolution Cine MRI to create patient-specific 3D models of the left atrium.
  • Employed computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to simulate blood flow.
  • Coupled CFD with reaction-diffusion-convection equations for clotting proteins to assess thrombogenesis.
  • Developed a novel risk score combining clinical and modeling data.

Main Results:

  • Generated patient-specific thrombus formation risk scores categorized as low (A), moderate (B), and high (C).
  • Identified significant thrombotic risks in some patients with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (e.g., score of 0).
  • Demonstrated the ability to characterize all aspects of Virchow's triad for mechanistic risk assessment.

Conclusions:

  • The novel integrated score offers a more comprehensive and mechanistic assessment of thrombotic risk in AF.
  • This approach enhances personalized stroke prevention strategies by accounting for individual pathophysiology.
  • Biophysical modeling provides crucial insights beyond traditional clinical scoring systems.