Has AlphaFold3 achieved success for RNA?

Predicting the 3D structure of RNA is a significant challenge despite ongoing advancements in the field. Although AlphaFold has successfully addressed this problem for proteins, RNA structure prediction raises difficulties due to the fundamental differences between proteins and RNA, which hinder its direct adaptation. The latest release of AlphaFold, AlphaFold3, has broadened its scope to include multiple different molecules such as DNA, ligands and RNA. While the AlphaFold3 article discussed the results for the last CASP-RNA data set, the scope of its performance and the limitations for RNA are unclear. In this article, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the performance of AlphaFold3 in the prediction of 3D structures of RNA. Through an extensive benchmark over five different test sets, we discuss the performance and limitations of AlphaFold3. We also compare its performance with ten existing state-of-the-art ab initio, template-based and deep-learning approaches. Our results are freely available on the EvryRNA platform at https://evryrna.ibisc.univ-evry.fr/evryrna/alphafold3/.