Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Pancreatic Disease-A Population-Based Nationwide Cohort...

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has been linked to pancreatic diseases, but evidence from population-based studies with liver histology is lacking.

In this population-based cohort including all Swedish adults (n = 8563) with biopsy-proven MASLD, we aimed to investigate incidences of pancreatic diseases compared with matched reference individuals from the general population (n = 38,858) and full siblings (n = 6696). Using Cox proportional hazard models, we calculated multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and confidence intervals (CIs).

We documented 359 incidents of pancreatic diseases in MASLD patients and 880 events in matched reference individuals, resulting in an incidence rate difference of 1.54 (95% CI, 1.25-1.84). The relative risk of pancreatic disease was highest in the first two years after MASLD diagnosis (aHR, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.92-2.50), but remained statistically significant increased even up to ten years [aHR, 1.60 (95% CI, 1.38-1.85)]. The most common pancreatic disease in individuals with MASLD was acute non-biliary pancreatitis (1.44 vs. 0.44 events/1000 PY), followed by chronic pancreatitis (0.54 vs. 0.12/1000 PY) and pancreatic cancer (0.88 vs. 0.47/1000 PY). We documented 130 versus 344 pancreas-related deaths among individuals with MASLD and their matched comparators, yielding an absolute risk difference of 0.51/1000 PY and an aHR of 2.41 (95%CI = 1.95-2.97). The findings were consistent in sibling-controlled analyses with an aHR of 2.21 (95%CI = 1.69-2.90).

MASLD was associated with significantly higher rates of acute and chronic pancreatitis of predominantly non-biliary origin, as well as an increased risk of pancreatic cancer and pancreas-related mortality.