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Updated: May 30, 2025

Assessment of Static Graviceptive Perception in the Roll-Plane using the Subjective Visual Vertical Paradigm
Published on: April 28, 2020
Variable vertical land motion and its impacts on sea level rise projections
Marin Govorcin1, David P S Bekaert1, Benjamin D Hamlington1
1Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Coastal vertical land motion (VLM) significantly impacts sea level rise. Local VLM estimates, unlike regional ones, reveal underestimated sea level rise in California, crucial for effective coastal flood management.
Area of Science:
- Geosciences
- Climate Science
- Coastal Engineering
Background:
- Coastal vertical land motion (VLM) is critical for accurate sea level rise (SLR) projections and flood mitigation planning.
- Current frameworks, like the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, often rely on linear regional VLM estimates, leading to underestimations.
- Accurate VLM data is essential for understanding and managing coastal inundation risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide high-resolution, local VLM estimates for California using recent satellite data.
- To assess the current and future contribution of local VLM to SLR.
- To highlight the inadequacy of regional VLM estimates in coastal projection frameworks.
Main Methods:
- Utilized high-resolution (90-meter) satellite data spanning from 2015 to 2023.
- Calculated local VLM rates for coastal California.
- Analyzed the impact of VLM on projected SLR by 2050, considering nonlinear factors.
Main Results:
- Regional VLM estimates substantially understate SLR in San Francisco and Los Angeles, potentially doubling projected rise by 2050.
- Temporally variable VLM, influenced by hydrocarbon and groundwater extraction, introduces up to 0.4 meters of uncertainty in 2050 SLR projections in parts of Los Angeles and San Diego.
- Local VLM rates vary significantly across the California coast.
Conclusions:
- Local VLM data is indispensable for refining SLR projections and improving coastal management strategies.
- Current sea level projection models require integration of detailed, local VLM data to account for nonlinearities and uncertainties.
- Effective coastal adaptation requires incorporating precise VLM assessments to mitigate future flood risks.
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