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Published on: October 26, 2019
The Ronne Ice Shelf survived the last interglacial.
Eric W Wolff1, Robert Mulvaney2, Mackenzie M Grieman3
1Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. ew428@cam.ac.uk.
During the last interglacial period, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) likely remained largely intact, contrary to some sea-level rise models. This finding impacts future sea-level projections by questioning extreme ice loss scenarios.
Area of Science:
- Paleoclimatology
- Glaciology
- Sea-level research
Background:
- The West Antarctic Ice Sheet's (WAIS) contribution to past sea-level rise is uncertain.
- Last Interglacial (LIG) sea levels were higher, implying significant Antarctic ice loss.
- Warmer LIG conditions in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean resemble future climate projections.
Purpose of the Study:
- To reconstruct the LIG extent of the WAIS and its ice shelves.
- To provide observational constraints on LIG ice sheet behavior.
- To reassess LIG sea-level contributions and future sea-level rise projections.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of sea salt data from an ice core at Skytrain Ice Rise.
- Interpretation of water isotope data from the same ice core.
- Comparison of findings with existing paleoclimate models and data.
Main Results:
- The Ronne Ice Shelf was largely present throughout most of the LIG.
- WAIS retreat occurred, but likely not to the extent of complete ice shelf loss.
- Observed LIG WAIS extent is inconsistent with models predicting dramatic ice loss.
Conclusions:
- The LIG WAIS was more stable than some models suggest.
- Reevaluation of LIG sea-level budget components is necessary.
- The observational basis for extreme future sea-level rise projections is weakened.
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