Risk prediction models for depression in patients with coronary heart disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Jie Zhang1, Yue Zhou1, Linyu Huang1

  • 1School of Nursing, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China.

PubMed

Insights

Depression risk models for coronary heart disease (CHD) patients show good performance but have high bias and limited use. More robust models are needed for early depression detection in CHD.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Psychiatry
  • Medical Informatics

Background:

  • Depression is a significant concern in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD).
  • Risk prediction models for depression in CHD patients are emerging.
  • The clinical utility and quality of these models require systematic evaluation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To systematically evaluate depression risk prediction models specifically for patients with coronary heart disease (CHD).
  • To assess the risk of bias and applicability of existing depression risk prediction models in CHD patients.

Main Methods:

  • A comprehensive literature search was conducted across multiple databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, etc.) up to September 29, 2024.
  • Two independent researchers screened studies, extracted data, and assessed model quality using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).

Main Results:

  • Eight studies involving 13 models and 8,035 CHD patients (1,971 with depression) were analyzed.
  • Models demonstrated good predictive performance (AUC 0.772–0.961), with common predictors including age, education, gender, and cardiac function.
  • A high risk of bias was identified, mainly due to issues in data analysis (missing values, univariate selection) and lack of external validation.

Conclusions:

  • Current depression risk prediction models for CHD patients exhibit good performance but suffer from significant bias and limited applicability.
  • There is a critical need for the development and validation of more robust models.
  • Improved models will enhance early identification of high-risk individuals, aiding clinical decision-making.
Abstract

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