From prediction to practice: mitigating bias and data shift in machine-learning models for chemotherapy-induced organ dysfunction across unseen cancers

  • 0Department of Computer Science, Durham University, Durham, UK.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Machine learning models can predict chemotherapy-induced kidney and liver damage, optimizing monitoring schedules. These models generalize to new cancer types, improving patient care and treatment delivery.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Machine Learning

Background

  • Chemotherapy requires routine renal and hepatic function monitoring to prevent organ damage and treatment delays.
  • Current monitoring frequency and timing are suboptimal.
  • Machine learning (ML) deployment in clinical practice is hindered by model bias and data heterogeneity concerns.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To develop ML models for individualized decisions on renal and hepatic monitoring timing during chemotherapy.
  • To explore the impact of data shift on ML model performance.

Main Methods

  • Utilized retrospective data from three UK hospitals.
  • Developed and validated ML models to predict significant increases in creatinine and bilirubin levels post-chemotherapy cycle 3.
  • Included 3614 patients undergoing treatment for breast, colorectal, lung, ovarian, and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

Main Results

  • Achieved F2 scores of 0.7773 for bilirubin and 0.6893 for creatinine on unseen data, optimized for sensitivity.
  • Demonstrated consistent performance on tumor types not included in training (F2 bilirubin: 0.7423, F2 creatinine: 0.6820).
  • Highlighted ML's effectiveness in clinical settings and its generalizability to unseen tumor types.

Conclusions

  • ML models show potential for improving chemotherapy patient care through optimized organ function monitoring.
  • Proposed bias mitigation strategies including multi-site data evaluation, patient subgroup analysis, and formal bias measures.
  • Data aggregation techniques were found to have unintended consequences on model bias.