Predicting recurrence of non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma: predictive value of the optimal cut-off value of Ki67
- Rende Peng 1, Yaoyu Zhang 2, Mingzhu Jia 3, Xinping Yi 4, Xiaoyao Yi 5, Shadan Li 2, Jiangchuan Pi 1, Wenjun Meng 6
- Rende Peng 1, Yaoyu Zhang 2, Mingzhu Jia 3
- 1Department of Urology, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, Chengdu, China.
- 2Department of Urology, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command, Chengdu, China.
- 3Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
- 4Department of Urology, Yongchuan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
- 5Department of Neurosurgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
- 6Department of Biotherapy, Cancer Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
- 0Department of Urology, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, Chengdu, China.
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.The optimal cut-off value for Ki67 in predicting non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma (NMIBUC) recurrence is 18%. High Ki67 expression (over 18%) is an independent risk factor for higher recurrence rates, aiding in treatment and follow-up strategies.
Area Of Science
- Urology
- Oncology
- Pathology
Background
- Non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma (NMIBUC) recurrence poses a significant clinical challenge.
- Accurate prognostic factors are crucial for guiding patient management and treatment strategies.
Purpose Of The Study
- To determine the optimal cut-off value of the immunohistochemical marker Ki67.
- To evaluate Ki67 as a prognostic factor for predicting recurrence in NMIBUC patients.
Main Methods
- Retrospective analysis of 331 NMIBUC patients.
- Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and Youden index to identify the optimal Ki67 cut-off value.
- Univariate, multivariate regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed.
Main Results
- An 18% cut-off value for Ki67 was identified as optimal for predicting NMIBUC recurrence.
- High Ki67 expression (Ki67 > 18%) was significantly correlated with tumor stage, grade, P53, and CK20 expression.
- Patients with high Ki67 expression exhibited significantly lower recurrence-free survival rates at 1 and 3 years compared to those with low Ki67 expression (P<0.001).
Conclusions
- 18% is the optimal Ki67 cut-off value for predicting NMIBUC recurrence.
- Ki67 expression > 18% is an independent risk factor for high recurrence rates.
- This finding holds potential clinical value for guiding postoperative adjuvant treatment and follow-up strategies for NMIBUC.
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