Predicting recurrence of non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma: predictive value of the optimal cut-off value of Ki67

  • 0Department of Urology, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, Chengdu, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

The optimal cut-off value for Ki67 in predicting non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma (NMIBUC) recurrence is 18%. High Ki67 expression (over 18%) is an independent risk factor for higher recurrence rates, aiding in treatment and follow-up strategies.

Area Of Science

  • Urology
  • Oncology
  • Pathology

Background

  • Non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma (NMIBUC) recurrence poses a significant clinical challenge.
  • Accurate prognostic factors are crucial for guiding patient management and treatment strategies.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To determine the optimal cut-off value of the immunohistochemical marker Ki67.
  • To evaluate Ki67 as a prognostic factor for predicting recurrence in NMIBUC patients.

Main Methods

  • Retrospective analysis of 331 NMIBUC patients.
  • Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and Youden index to identify the optimal Ki67 cut-off value.
  • Univariate, multivariate regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed.

Main Results

  • An 18% cut-off value for Ki67 was identified as optimal for predicting NMIBUC recurrence.
  • High Ki67 expression (Ki67 > 18%) was significantly correlated with tumor stage, grade, P53, and CK20 expression.
  • Patients with high Ki67 expression exhibited significantly lower recurrence-free survival rates at 1 and 3 years compared to those with low Ki67 expression (P<0.001).

Conclusions

  • 18% is the optimal Ki67 cut-off value for predicting NMIBUC recurrence.
  • Ki67 expression > 18% is an independent risk factor for high recurrence rates.
  • This finding holds potential clinical value for guiding postoperative adjuvant treatment and follow-up strategies for NMIBUC.