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Predicting carbon dioxide emissions using deep learning and Ninja metaheuristic optimization algorithm.

Anis Ben Ghorbal1, Azedine Grine2, Ibrahim Elbatal2

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), 11632, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. assghorbal@imamu.edu.sa.

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This study introduces a novel machine learning approach using Deep Predictive Recurrent Neural Networks (DPRNNs) with Nickel-Iron Oxide Anodes (NiOA) for precise carbon dioxide (CO₂) emission estimation. The method significantly improves accuracy and provides a robust framework for policymakers addressing global warming.

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CO2 emissionsDual-path recurrent neural networksEnvironmental forecastingMachine learningMetaheuristicsNinja optimizer

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Data Science
  • Climate Change Research

Background:

  • Accurate estimation of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions is crucial for climate change mitigation strategies.
  • Existing methods for CO₂ emission projection face challenges in precision and capturing complex temporal dependencies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a novel, high-precision machine learning framework for estimating CO₂ emissions.
  • To enhance the accuracy of CO₂ emission predictions by integrating advanced data preprocessing and optimization techniques.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Blind Source Separation (BSS) for sophisticated data denoising and feature selection.
  • Employed Deep Predictive Recurrent Neural Networks (DPRNNs) to effectively capture short and long-term temporal data dependencies.
  • Optimized DPRNN parameters using Nickel-Iron Oxide Anodes (NiOA) to boost prediction accuracy.

Main Results:

  • The proposed NiOA-DPRNNs framework achieved a high coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.9736.
  • Demonstrated superior performance with the lowest error and fitness values compared to existing models and optimization methods.
  • Wilcoxon and ANOVA analyses confirmed the specificity and consistency of the obtained results.

Conclusions:

  • The NiOA-DPRNNs framework offers a precise and reliable method for CO₂ emission estimation and projection.
  • This approach provides a robust theoretical and empirical foundation for policymakers engaged in combating global warming.
  • Future research can extend this framework to include other greenhouse gases and enable real-time tracking for responsive climate action.