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Predicting norm change using threshold models
Moritz Janas1, Nikos Nikiforakis2, Simon Siegenthaler3
1Center for Behavioral Institutional Design, New York University Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Abstract:
Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.
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