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Identifying new classes of financial price jumps with wavelets
Cecilia Aubrun1,2, Rudy Morel1,3,4, Michael Benzaquen1,2,5
1Chair of Econophysics and Complex Systems, École Polytechnique, Palaiseau Cedex 91128, France.
None:
We introduce an unsupervised classification framework that leverages a multiscale wavelet representation of time-series and apply it to stock price jumps. In line with previous work, we recover the fact that time-asymmetry of volatility is the major feature that separates exogenous, news-induced jumps from endogenously generated jumps. Local mean-reversion and trend are found to be two additional key features, allowing us to identify new classes of jumps. Using our wavelet-based representation, we investigate the endogenous or exogenous nature of cojumps, which occur when multiple stocks experience price jumps within the same minute. Perhaps surprisingly, our analysis suggests that a significant fraction of cojumps result from an endogenous contagion mechanism.
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