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Population aging, technological innovation and industrial differentiation
Chunhua Li1,2, Zhangqing Chen1, Wangchun Wu1
1School of Economics, Guangxi University for Nationalities, Nanning, China.
Frontiers in Public Health
|February 11, 2025
Summary
China's aging population drives industrial differentiation, with technological innovation playing a key moderating role. This study analyzes the impact of population aging and innovation on industry structure using provincial data.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Demography
- Innovation Studies
Background:
- China faces an accelerating aging population, necessitating technological innovation for industrial development.
- Understanding the interplay between demographic shifts, technological advancement, and economic structure is critical.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between population aging, technological innovation, and industrial differentiation in China.
- To examine the moderating effect of technological innovation on the population aging-industrial differentiation nexus.
Main Methods:
- Utilized panel data from 31 Chinese provinces spanning 2006-2022.
- Constructed entropy indices to measure overall and tertiary industrial differentiation.
- Employed a two-way fixed effects model to analyze the relationships.
Main Results:
- Population aging significantly positively impacts overall industrial differentiation (coefficient=1.1025).
- Technological innovation demonstrates a significant positive moderating effect (interaction coefficient=0.3489).
- Population aging negatively affects the primary industry (coefficient=-0.6437) and positively affects the tertiary industry (coefficient=0.1539), with an insignificant effect on the secondary industry.
Conclusions:
- Population aging is a key driver of industrial differentiation in China.
- Technological innovation is crucial for navigating the economic adjustments associated with an aging population.
- Policy recommendations include incentivizing R&D, talent acquisition, and intelligent transformation of industries.
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