A machine learning based death risk analysis and prediction of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI)
Abulkerim Öztekin1, Bahar Özyılmaz1
1Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Batman University, Batman, 72100, Turkiye.
Insights
This study introduces machine learning models for predicting death risk in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. The AI approach achieves over 99% accuracy, aiding rapid clinical decisions and improving healthcare quality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Informatics
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a critical condition requiring rapid diagnosis and intervention.
- Traditional risk assessment for STEMI patients is often subjective and time-consuming.
- AI applications are increasingly vital for early diagnosis and treatment in modern medicine.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate machine learning models for predicting in-hospital mortality risk in STEMI patients.
- To provide clinical decision support for managing STEMI patients.
- To enhance the accuracy and speed of risk assessment compared to traditional methods.
Main Methods:
- Utilized selected machine learning algorithms including Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), Logistic Model Trees (LMT), and Multilayer Perceptrons (MLP).
- Applied these algorithms for death risk analysis and in-hospital mortality risk prediction in STEMI patients.
- Evaluated model performance using metrics such as accuracy, recall, precision, F-score, and Area Under the Curve (AUC).
Main Results:
- The proposed machine learning methods achieved superior performance, exceeding 99% in all evaluated metrics (accuracy, recall, precision, sensitivity, F-score, AUC).
- The models demonstrated high predictive power even with a reduced number of predictors.
- The AI-based approach outperformed existing studies in the literature for STEMI risk prediction.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning algorithms offer a powerful tool for accurate and rapid risk prediction in STEMI patients.
- The developed models can serve as effective clinical decision support systems, improving patient management and healthcare outcomes.
- AI-driven risk assessment can significantly enhance the efficiency and reliability of STEMI patient care.
Abstract:
Acute myocardial infarction is a condition in which a part of the heart muscle cannot receive enough blood due to the narrowing and blockage of the vessels feeding the heart over time. Noticing this situation lately and failing to intervene immediately may cause death and some permanent damage to individuals. The ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI) is one of the most serious and fatal types of acute myocardial infarction which requires urgent diagnosis and intervention. Artificial intelligence-based applications used in health have become widespread, paving the way for early diagnosis and treatment. In modern medicine, it is vital that STEMI patients are identified and treated accurately and quickly. Determining the risk of death of patients in advance plays a major role in making clinical decisions. Traditional risk assessment methods are often time-consuming and subjective processes and rely on manual analysis of clinical data. In this respect, this study is expected to provide clinical decision support in the management of STEMI patients and contribute to improving the quality of healthcare services. In the proposed work, death risk analysis and in-hospital mortality risk prediction are carried out using some selected machine learning (ML) algorithms, such as SVM, RF, RT, k-NN, LMT, and MLP, that are proven to be effective in medical classification tasks. The conducted test results indicate that the proposed method outperforms similar studies in the literature, achieving a superior performance of over 99 % in all metrics, i.e., accuracy, recall, precision, sensitivity, F-score, and AUC. Moreover, the same competitive results have been obtained with even much fewer predictors.
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