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Predictive coding: a more cognitive process than we thought?

Kaitlyn M Gabhart1, Yihan Sophy Xiong1, André M Bastos1

  • 1Department of Psychology, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.

Trends in Cognitive Sciences
|February 21, 2025
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Predictive coding (PC) suggests prediction errors arise in sensory areas. However, new research indicates these errors may originate in the prefrontal cortex, supporting a predictive routing (PR) framework over traditional PC models.

Keywords:
beta oscillationsgamma oscillationsglobal oddballslocal–global oddball paradigmpredictive codingpredictive routing

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Area of Science:

  • Neuroscience
  • Cognitive Science
  • Computational Neuroscience

Background:

  • Predictive coding (PC) theory posits that higher-order brain regions generate predictions sent to lower-order sensory areas.
  • Mismatches between top-down predictions and bottom-up sensory data generate prediction errors, crucial for learning and perception.
  • Traditionally, prediction errors in PC are thought to be encoded in sensory cortex pyramidal neurons.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the precise neural locus of prediction error generation.
  • To evaluate the validity of the predictive coding (PC) model versus an alternative predictive routing (PR) framework.
  • To determine if prediction errors are primarily sensory or cognitive in origin.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized neuronal spiking data analysis.
  • Employed the global-local oddball paradigm across multiple recording modalities.
  • Examined neural activity in sensory and prefrontal cortex (PFC) areas.

Main Results:

  • Neuroimaging studies consistently show prediction error responses in both sensory and higher-order areas, aligning with PC.
  • Recent neuronal spiking studies suggest that genuine prediction errors predominantly emerge in the prefrontal cortex (PFC).
  • This finding challenges the sensory-centric view of PC.

Conclusions:

  • The localization of prediction errors in the PFC suggests predictive processing is more cognitive than sensory-based.
  • This challenges core assumptions of the predictive coding (PC) model.
  • Findings better support an alternative framework termed predictive routing (PR).