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Primary Care Autism Screening with the Parent's Observations of Social Interactions
Paul S Carbone1, Kathleen Campbell2, Michele Villalobos3
1Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah, 295 Chipeta Way, Salt Lake City, UT, 84108, USA. paul.carbone@hsc.utah.edu.
Insights
The Parent's Observations of Social Interactions (POSI) tool effectively screens for autism, identifying children with a higher likelihood of diagnosis and earlier detection. However, its low positive predictive value necessitates careful interpretation for further evaluations.
Area of Science:
- Developmental Pediatrics
- Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Screening Tool Validation
Background:
- Early identification of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is crucial for timely intervention.
- Parental reporting of social interaction behaviors can provide valuable insights into developmental trajectories.
- The Parent's Observations of Social Interactions (POSI) is a screening tool designed to assess social interaction skills in young children.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the results of the Parent's Observations of Social Interactions (POSI) screening tool.
- To determine the association between POSI results and referrals for developmental evaluations.
- To investigate the relationship between POSI outcomes and the subsequent diagnosis of autism.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of electronic health records from 6669 children screened with POSI at 18- and 24-month well-child visits.
- Utilized descriptive statistics and regression models to analyze screening results, referrals, and autism diagnoses.
- Data collected between July 2018 and July 2022.
Main Results:
- POSI identified 25.2% of 18-month-olds and 17.4% of 24-month-olds as positive screeners.
- Among children with positive POSI screens, 21% were referred for developmental evaluation.
- Autism was diagnosed in 2.8% of all children; a positive POSI significantly increased the likelihood (aOR 5.21 at 18 months, 10.21 at 24 months) and led to earlier diagnosis (13 months sooner).
Conclusions:
- The POSI demonstrates high sensitivity for autism screening but a low positive predictive value, highlighting the need for careful interpretation.
- A positive POSI result is strongly associated with an increased likelihood and earlier diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder.
- The findings support the utility of POSI in identifying children who may benefit from further developmental assessment for autism.
Purpose:
To report results of the Parent's Observations of Social Interactions (POSI) and identify associations between POSI results with referrals for developmental evaluations and autism diagnoses.
Methods:
We examined data from electronic health records of POSI-screened children attending 18- and 24-month health supervision visits from July 2018 to July 2022 for POSI screening results and autism diagnoses. Descriptive statistics and regression models were used for analysis.
Results:
In 6669 POSI-screened children (age at follow-up, 42-107 months), 1065 of 4228 children screened at 18 months (25.2%) and 851 of 4896 children at 24 months (17.4%) screened positive. In 1079 children with positive POSI screenings, 233 children (21%) were referred for developmental evaluation. Autism was diagnosed in 184 of all 6669 children (2.8%). The POSI sensitivity for autism was 66.4% (95% CI 59.2-72.8%) and the positive predictive value was 9.2% (95% CI 7.4-10.6%). A positive POSI increased the likelihood of autism diagnosis at 18 months (adjusted odds ratio, 5.21; 95% CI 3.45-7.86) and 24 months (adjusted odds ratio 10.21; 95% CI 7.07-14.76). Autism was diagnosed 13 months earlier in children with a positive rather than negative POSI (35.5 vs 48.1 months; P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
The POSI is a sensitive screening instrument for autism with a low positive predictive value (high percentage of false positive screenings), indicating the need for clarification about which children require further evaluation. Screening positive on the POSI was associated with a greater likelihood and earlier diagnosis of children with autism.
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