Reactive nitrogen emissions from cropland and their dominant driving factors in China

The environmental impacts of reactive nitrogen (Nr) emitted from fertilized cropland present significant challenges for balancing food security, air pollution and climate change mitigation. As a leading agricultural producer, China requires high-resolution Nr emissions modeling within a comprehensive processed-based framework to address these issues effectively. In this study, we applied a process-based agroecological model (FEST-C*) to estimate daily Nr emissions at 0.25° in China during 2020 and analyzed the driving factors by using Structural Equation Modeling, Random Forest, and Dominance Analysis. The hotspots of annual Nr emissions were in North China, Southeast China, and Southwest China, collectively responsible for over 80 % of the total emissions. Approximately 81 % of the total Nr emissions were from wheat, maize, and rice fields. Timing and amount of basal and topdressing fertilization under different crop rotation systems determined the monthly and seasonal variations of Nr emissions. The impacts of various factors on Nr emissions varied with NH₃ being mainly driven by fertilizer consumption and other Nr species (N₂O, NO, and HONO) also affected by soil temperature and water content. The spatial distributions of monthly Nr emissions calculated by FEST-C* were more realistic than currently available emission inventories compared to satellite or field observations. These findings will enable policymakers to develop effective control measures that alleviate cropland Nr emissions while sustaining crop production in China.