Exploring Predictive Factors for Bulevirtide Treatment Response in Hepatitis Delta-Positive Patients

Background: Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection represents the most severe form of viral hepatitis and is a significant global health challenge. Bulevirtide (BLV) is a novel therapeutic treatment that has resulted in variable response rates in HBV/HDV-coinfected patients. We evaluated clinical, virological, and polymorphic factors for the purpose of predicting BLV treatment success. Methods: Thirty HBV/HDV-coinfected patients received BLV monotherapy (2 mg/day) for 24 to 48 weeks. Baseline (BL) serum samples were collected to assess clinical parameters and virological markers (HDV RNA, HBV DNA, HBsAg, HBcrAg, anti-HBc IgG) at treatment weeks 24 (TW24) and 48 (TW48). Additionally, full-genome HDV sequencing and a phylogenetic analysis were performed. Finally, analyses of the HDAg protein sequence and HDV RNA secondary structure were conducted to evaluate potential associations with treatment response. Results: A significant reduction in HDV RNA levels was observed at TW48, with a virological response (HDV RNA undetectable or ≥2 Log decline from BL) achieved by 58% of patients. Median BL levels of anti-HBc IgG were significantly different between virological responders (39.3 COI; interquartile range [IQR] 31.6-47.1) and virological non-responders (244.7 COI; IQR 127.0-299.4) (p = 0.0001). HDV genotype 1e was predominant across the cohort, and no specific HDAg polymorphisms predicted the response. However, secondary structure analysis of HDV RNA revealed that a specific pattern of internal loops in the region 63-100 nucleotides downstream of the editing site may influence treatment response by impacting editing efficacy. Conclusions: This study revealed key factors influencing BLV efficacy in HBV/HDV coinfection. Lower baseline anti-HBc IgG levels strongly correlated with a positive virological response, suggesting that the liver's inflammatory state affects treatment success. Additionally, the analysis of HDV RNA secondary structure in patients receiving BLV treatment revealed a higher editing efficiency in virological responders, highlighting areas for further research.