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Modelling of pome fruit pollen performance using machine learning
1Isparta University of Applied Sciences Atabey Vocational School, Isparta, Türkiye. sultanguclu@isparta.edu.tr.
Scientific Reports
|February 26, 2025
Summary
Predicting fruit yield is crucial for agriculture. This study developed a machine learning model to accurately forecast pollen germination rates, enhancing agricultural research and fruit production strategies.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Science
- Bioinformatics
- Machine Learning in Agriculture
Background:
- Extreme temperature fluctuations negatively impact fruit crop flowering and yield.
- Pollen performance analysis is vital for understanding plant reproductive success.
- Advancements in technology have driven new methods for pollen germination analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a predictive model for pollen germination rates in pome fruits using machine learning.
- To assess the influence of environmental factors on pollen viability and germination.
- To leverage artificial intelligence for improved agricultural research outcomes.
Main Methods:
- In vitro testing of pollen germination rate and pollen tube length for four pome fruit cultivars.
- Experimentation across three different media, four incubation durations, and seven temperature variations.
- Development and validation of three deep learning models with two hidden layers, evaluating various optimizers.
Main Results:
- A machine learning model, specifically using artificial neural networks with the Adam optimizer, achieved a high R² value of 0.89.
- The developed model demonstrated significant accuracy in predicting pollen germination rates.
- The study successfully identified key factors influencing pollen performance under varied conditions.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning, particularly deep learning, offers a powerful tool for predicting pollen germination rates in agriculture.
- Accurate prediction of pollen viability can aid in optimizing fruit production and mitigating climate change impacts.
- This research underscores the potential of AI to advance agricultural science and improve crop management strategies.
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