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Published on: February 10, 2015
Prognostic significance of clinical scoring systems for large-duct primary sclerosing cholangitis in Japanese
Koji Takahashi1,2, Ryosuke Horio1, Hiroshi Ohyama1
1Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan.
Purpose:
This study aimed to identify the significant factors associated with liver transplant-free survival time in Japanese patients with large-duct primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) by evaluating the association between various parameters and clinical scores at PSC diagnosis.
Methods:
This single-center retrospective study investigated factors influencing liver transplant-free survival in Japanese large-duct PSC patients. Univariate analysis using log-rank tests identified significant clinical parameters and scoring systems, which were further analyzed with multivariate Cox proportional hazards models to determine independent predictors of liver transplant-free survival.
Results:
A total of 77 patients with large-duct PSC were included. The univariate analysis identified that age (p < .001), serum albumin level (p = .024), Child-Pugh score (p = .0012), albumin-bilirubin score (p = .0083), Amsterdam-Oxford PSC score (p < .001), and revised Mayo risk score (p < .001) were significant predictors of liver transplant-free survival time. However, the multivariate analysis revealed that only the Amsterdam-Oxford PSC score remained as an independent factor significantly associated with liver transplant-free survival time (hazard ratio: 12.90, 95% confidence interval: 2.78-59.81, p = .0011).
Conclusions:
This study underscored the importance of utilizing the Amsterdam-Oxford PSC score in clinical practice to assess disease prognosis and guide patient management in Japanese patients with large-duct PSC.

