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Correlating High-dimensional longitudinal microbial features with time-varying outcomes with FLORAL
Teng Fei1, Victoria Donovan1,2, Tyler Funnell3
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center.
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|March 3, 2025
Summary
This study introduces a new statistical method for analyzing longitudinal microbiome data. The approach improves the identification of microbial biomarkers associated with patient characteristics, enhancing biomarker discovery in microbiome research.
Area of Science:
- Microbiome research
- Statistical modeling
- Biomarker discovery
Background:
- Longitudinal microbiome studies require methods to correlate time-dependent patient data with microbial samples.
- Current methods often apply a single modeling approach across all features, followed by false discovery rate (FDR) adjustment.
- This can limit sensitivity and the ability to identify true associations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an advanced statistical strategy for analyzing longitudinal microbiome data.
- To identify microbial biomarkers associated with time-varying patient characteristics.
- To improve sensitivity and FDR control in microbiome biomarker discovery.
Main Methods:
- Utilized log-ratio penalized generalized estimating equations for direct modeling.
- Treated microbial features as high-dimensional compositional covariates.
- Employed cross-validation for variable and model selection, including correlation structures.
Main Results:
- The proposed method demonstrated superior sensitivity compared to existing state-of-the-art approaches.
- Achieved robust control of the false discovery rate (FDR).
- Successfully identified gut health indicators and relevant microbial markers in cancer patient data.
Conclusions:
- The novel method offers enhanced capabilities for biomarker discovery in longitudinal microbiome studies.
- Demonstrated robust utility in real-world applications, such as analyzing dietary intake and gut microbiota.
- The method is available via the open-source R package FLORAL.

