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    Traffic emission data often has missing blocks, impacting models. A new diffusion model framework (STI-dm) improves imputation for these complex, incomplete datasets, outperforming existing methods.

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    Area of Science:

    • Environmental Science
    • Data Science
    • Traffic Engineering

    Background:

    • Traffic emission monitoring faces challenges with missing not-at-random (MNAR) data, particularly long-term block missing in road segments due to sparse monitoring.
    • This missing data disrupts spatiotemporal correlations, leading to significant biases in incomplete data modeling.
    • Existing diffusion models struggle with the dynamics and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of traffic emissions in unknown missing scenarios.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To propose a novel progressive Diffusion Model-based framework for SpatioTemporal Imputation of traffic emissions (STI-dm).
    • To address biases and improve the accuracy of traffic emission modeling with MNAR data.
    • To enhance the applicability of diffusion models for complex spatiotemporal missing data patterns.

    Main Methods:

    • Developed a self-supervised masked training strategy to establish nonlocal similarity priors for traffic emission data.
    • Incorporated the MNAR missing mechanism directly into the diffusion process.
    • Employed an enhanced noise injection and supervised denoising approach to correct nonlocal alignment misconceptions and reduce modeling biases.
    • Implemented a progressive imputation and prior modeling process for stable, mutually beneficial results.

    Main Results:

    • The proposed STI-dm framework effectively handles intricate spatiotemporal patterns and varying missing data rates.
    • STI-dm demonstrates superior performance compared to current state-of-the-art algorithms in traffic emission imputation.
    • The progressive approach ensures stable results and enhances the accuracy of the imputation process.

    Conclusions:

    • STI-dm offers a robust solution for spatiotemporal imputation of traffic emissions, particularly under MNAR conditions.
    • The framework significantly reduces modeling biases associated with incomplete traffic emission data.
    • This work advances the application of diffusion models in environmental data science for improved traffic emission analysis.