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Risk assessment of coal supply chain based on analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
Cheng Yang1, Xiaoliang Zheng2, Changchun Dai1
1State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd, Hefei, 230000, PR China.
Heliyon
|March 5, 2025
Summary
This study developed a coal supply chain risk assessment model using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). The coal supply chain in X province was assessed as "moderate" risk, indicating a need for risk reduction measures.
Area of Science:
- Supply Chain Management
- Risk Assessment
- Energy Economics
Background:
- Ensuring a stable coal supply and enhancing safety are critical practical demands.
- Supply chain risks originate from various driving factors that necessitate systematic analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine risk assessment indicators and establish a comprehensive risk assessment system for coal supply chains.
- To develop and apply a robust model for evaluating coal supply chain risks.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the origins and driving factors of coal supply chain risks.
- Application of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) for hierarchical structuring of risks.
- Utilization of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) for quantitative risk assessment.
Main Results:
- A risk assessment model combining AHP and FCE was established.
- The coal supply chain in X province was assessed with a "moderate" risk level.
- The overall supply chain risk was deemed relatively safe, but improvement measures are recommended.
Conclusions:
- The integrated AHP and FCE approach is effective and applicable for coal supply chain risk assessment.
- Continuous improvement measures are necessary to mitigate identified risks.
- The methodology provides a valuable tool for ensuring coal supply stability and safety.
Keywords:
Analytic hierarchy processDynamic risk assessmentFuzzy comprehensive evaluationRisk indicatorsSupply chain of coalMore Related Videos
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