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Prognostic Factors in Moderate-to-Large Pericardial Effusion Requiring Pericardiocentesis. A Single-Center
Sevil Gülaştı1, Berk Mutlu1, Cemil Zencir1
1Adnan Menderes University School of Medicine, Department of Cardiology.
Insights
The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and hypoalbuminemia are key laboratory markers predicting mortality in patients with pericardial effusion. These findings aid in assessing prognosis for individuals requiring pericardiocentesis.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Internal Medicine
- Clinical Pathology
Background:
- Pericardial effusion is a common clinical finding.
- Predictors of mortality in pericardial effusion patients are not well-established.
- No prior studies have focused on laboratory parameters for mortality prediction in this cohort.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify prognostic factors for patients with moderate to large pericardial effusions.
- To evaluate laboratory parameters as predictors of mortality.
- To assess the utility of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in predicting outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 156 patients undergoing pericardiocentesis (2013-2022).
- Evaluation of laboratory values at admission, including albumin levels and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.
- Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine predictive accuracy.
Main Results:
- Hypoalbuminemia was significantly more frequent in non-survivors (p<0.001).
- A lower median neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio was observed in survivors (p=0.005).
- Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio > 4.49 predicted mortality with 78.57% sensitivity and 51.75% specificity (AUC=0.622, p=0.013).
Conclusions:
- Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and hypoalbuminemia are significant prognostic indicators.
- Albumin levels in pericardial fluid and malignant pathology also influence prognosis.
- These laboratory values at admission can aid in predicting outcomes for pericardial effusion patients.
Abstract:
Aim Pericardial effusion is relatively common in daily clinical practice. To our knowledge, no study to date has been conducted on any laboratory parameter that predicts mortality in patients presenting with pericardial effusion. The present study evaluated the prognostic factors of patients with moderate to large pericardial effusions requiring pericardiocentesis.Material and methods This retrospective study included 156 patients who underwent pericardiocentesis in our hospital between 2013 and 2022.Results 73 of the patients (46.8 %) survived. Nonsurvivors had hypoalbuminemia more often than survivors (p<0.001). Median follow-up time in non-survivors was 274.5 [4.0-3507.0] days, while median follow-up time in survivors was 1490.0 [109.0-3209.0]. In-hospital mortality was seen in only 8 patients. The median neutrophil / lymphocyte ratio was significantly lower in survivors than nonsurvivors (p=0.005). The ROC curve analysis showed that the neutrophil / lymphocyte ratio was higher than 4.49, with sensitivity and specificity rates of 78.57 % and 51.75 % in predicting mortality (AUC=0.622, 95 % confidence interval: 0.541-0.698, p=0.013).Conclusions The present study showed that the neutrophil / lymphocyte ratio and hypoalbuminemia, which are laboratory values at the time of admission, albumin in the pericardial fluid, and malignant pathology all play roles in the prognosis of pericardial effusion requiring pericardiocentesis.
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