Construction and validation of a nomogram model for predicting CINV in patients with gynecological malignancies
- Xuelian Zhou 1, Tingting Fan 2
- Xuelian Zhou 1, Tingting Fan 2
- 1The First Affiliated Hospital of Kangda College of Nanjing Medical University, 6 zhenhua East Rd., Lianyungang 222000, China.
- 2Oncology Department, Affiliated People's Hospital of Jiangsu University, 8 Dianli Rd., Zhenjiang 212002, China.
- 0The First Affiliated Hospital of Kangda College of Nanjing Medical University, 6 zhenhua East Rd., Lianyungang 222000, China.
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.A nomogram effectively predicts chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) in gynecological cancer patients. Key predictors include age, motion sickness, pregnancy vomiting history, and chemotherapy drug type.
Area Of Science
- Oncology
- Clinical Prediction Models
- Gynecological Malignancies
Background
- Chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) significantly impacts treatment adherence and quality of life in patients with gynecological malignancies.
- Accurate prediction of CINV risk is crucial for personalized antiemetic management.
Purpose Of The Study
- To develop and validate a nomogram model for predicting CINV risk in patients undergoing chemotherapy for gynecological malignancies.
- Identify key clinical and demographic risk factors associated with CINV.
Main Methods
- Retrospective analysis of patients with gynecological malignancies treated between February 2020 and October 2021.
- Development of a nomogram using logistic regression on a training set and validation using an internal validation set and external patient data.
- Assessment of model performance using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calculation of area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity.
Main Results
- Multivariate analysis identified age <60 years, motion sickness, history of pregnancy-related vomiting, and use of moderate/high emetogenic chemotherapy drugs as independent predictors of CINV.
- The nomogram demonstrated good discrimination in the training set (AUC=0.844) and internal validation set (AUC=0.945).
- External validation showed an AUC of 0.704, indicating moderate predictive ability in a broader population.
Conclusions
- The developed nomogram, incorporating age, emetogenic potential of chemotherapy, motion sickness, and pregnancy vomiting history, is a valuable tool for predicting CINV in gynecological cancer patients.
- The nomogram shows good discriminative ability, supporting its use in clinical practice for risk stratification and personalized antiemetic therapy.
- Further validation in diverse populations is recommended to optimize its clinical utility.
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