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Predicting Liver-Related In Vitro Endpoints with Machine Learning to Support Early Detection of Drug-Induced Liver
Marina Garcia de Lomana1, Domenico Gadaleta2, Marian Raschke3
1Bayer AG, Pharmaceuticals, 42113 Wuppertal, Germany.
Abstract:
Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a major cause of drug development failures and postmarket drug withdrawals, posing significant challenges to public health and pharmaceutical research. The biological mechanisms leading to DILI are highly complex and the adverse reaction is often difficult to foresee. Hence, mechanistic insights into DILI, as well as machine learning models to predict molecular events that trigger adverse outcomes, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics in the liver, are essential tools for understanding and preventing DILI. In this study, we collected a comprehensive data set of 28 in vitro endpoints related to liver toxicity and function, as well as data specific to DILI, to explore the potential of multi-task learning for their prediction. We demonstrate the benefits of ensemble modeling and provide an uncertainty estimation based on the standard deviation of the predictions to define an applicability domain for the models. Available assays at Bayer for two of the endpoints (Bile salt export pump (BSEP) inhibition and phospholipidosis) were run on a set of public compounds and used for further evaluation (data provided in the Supporting Information). Additionally, we conducted an in-depth data analysis of the relationships among the different endpoints, as well as with DILI. The presented models can be used to derive a "Virtual Liver Safety Profile" showcasing the predicted activity of a compound on the selected endpoints to support the prioritization of assays and the elucidation of modes of action.
Insights
Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) prediction is improved using multi-task machine learning models. These models analyze 28 in vitro liver toxicity endpoints to forecast potential DILI risks early in drug development.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacology and Toxicology
- Computational Chemistry
- Drug Development
Background:
- Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a significant challenge in drug development, leading to failures and withdrawals.
- The complex mechanisms of DILI make it difficult to predict, necessitating advanced predictive tools.
- Understanding liver pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics is crucial for mitigating DILI risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the potential of multi-task learning for predicting 28 in vitro liver toxicity endpoints.
- To develop machine learning models for predicting molecular events triggering DILI.
- To create a 'Virtual Liver Safety Profile' for compound prioritization and mode of action elucidation.
Main Methods:
- Collected a comprehensive dataset of 28 in vitro liver toxicity and DILI-specific endpoints.
- Applied multi-task learning and ensemble modeling for prediction.
- Incorporated uncertainty estimation to define model applicability domains.
- Evaluated models using public compound data for Bile salt export pump (BSEP) inhibition and phospholipidosis.
Main Results:
- Demonstrated the benefits of ensemble modeling for predicting liver toxicity endpoints.
- Established an applicability domain for the predictive models using uncertainty estimation.
- Analyzed relationships between various endpoints and DILI.
- Validated model performance on specific assays like BSEP inhibition.
Conclusions:
- Multi-task learning models show promise for predicting DILI and related liver endpoints.
- The 'Virtual Liver Safety Profile' can aid in early-stage drug safety assessment.
- These models support assay prioritization and understanding of DILI mechanisms.
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