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The Final Rule in a Bind: What We Are Learning From Suboptimal Simultaneous Heart-Kidney Outcomes and Potential
Venkatesh K Ariyamuthu1, Xingxing S Cheng2, Benjamin Hippen3
1Division of Nephrology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ.
Insights
The 2018 adult Heart Allocation Policy revision increased simultaneous heart-kidney transplants (SHKT) but also raised mortality and graft failure rates. Policy adjustments are needed to improve outcomes and ensure transplant equity.
Area of Science:
- Transplantation Medicine
- Organ Allocation Policy
- Nephrology
Background:
- The 2018 revision of the adult Heart Allocation Policy (aHAP) in the US increased simultaneous heart-kidney transplants (SHKT).
- Criticism of the aHAP includes its failure to improve post-transplant survival or reduce waitlist mortality for SHKT recipients.
- High-quality kidneys are utilized in SHKT under the current policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of the 2018 aHAP revision on SHKT outcomes.
- To compare post-transplant survival and graft failure rates before and after the policy change.
- To assess adverse kidney outcomes following SHKT under the revised policy.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 1549 SHKT cases from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (2015-2021).
- Assessment of 1-year post-transplant outcomes, including graft failure and adverse kidney events.
- Propensity score-matching to compare cohorts before (pre-October 2018) and after (post-October 2018) policy implementation.
Main Results:
- The post-aHAP implementation period showed significantly increased mortality (HR 1.62) and all-cause graft failures for both heart (HR 1.59) and kidney (HR 1.39).
- One-year incidence of adverse kidney outcomes was 6.8% under the new aHAP versus 5.3% previously among survivors (P=0.33).
Conclusions:
- The revised aHAP has led to suboptimal outcomes for SHKT recipients.
- Potential negative impacts on kidney-alone transplant candidates warrant consideration.
- Regular monitoring and potential revision of SHKT policies are essential to meet equity and utility goals.
Background:
The 2018 revision of the adult Heart Allocation Policy (aHAP) led to a notable increase in the rate of simultaneous heart-kidney transplants (SHKT) in the United States. However, this policy has faced criticism for its inability to enhance post-transplant survival rates or decrease mortality among SHKT recipients on the waitlist, although high-quality kidneys are used.
Methods:
We analyzed data from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network, covering 1549 SHKT cases from 2015 to 2021. The study assessed 1-y post-transplant outcomes, including all-cause heart and kidney graft failures and adverse kidney outcomes such as end-stage kidney disease, significantly reduced kidney function or the need for retransplantation. Using a propensity score-matching approach, we compared 2 cohorts: patients treated before and after the policy implementation in October 2018.
Results:
The multivariable Cox proportional hazard models indicated a significant increase in mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-2.37) and all-cause graft failures for both heart (HR 1.59; 95% CI, 1.08-2.33) and kidney (HR 1.39; 95% CI, 1.03-1.85) during the period after the new aHAP implementation. One year post-transplant, the incidence of adverse kidney outcomes was 6.8% under the new aHAP compared with 5.3% in the previous period among survivors ( P = 0.33).
Conclusions:
The suboptimal outcomes of SHKT under the new aHAP, alongside its potential impacts on kidney-alone transplant candidates, suggest a need for regular monitoring of SHKT policies. This is crucial to ensure that the intentions of the Final Rule regarding equity and utility are effectively met.
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