GDF15, EGF, and Neopterin in Assessing Progression of Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease Using Artificial Intelligence

Kinga Musiał1, Jakub Stojanowski2, Agnieszka Bargenda-Lange1

  • 1Department of Pediatric Nephrology, Wrocław Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wrocław, Poland.

Insights

Artificial intelligence accurately predicts chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in children. The model uses serum levels of Epidermal Growth Factor (EGF), Growth Differentiation Factor 15 (GDF15), and neopterin to identify advanced stages.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Nephrology
  • Biomarker Discovery
  • Artificial Intelligence in Medicine

Background:

  • Chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children is characterized by cell-mediated immunity and chronic inflammation.
  • Growth Differentiation Factor 15 (GDF15) indicates inflammation and stress, while Epidermal Growth Factor (EGF) aids renal tubule regeneration.
  • Neopterin reflects cell-mediated immunity, being a product of activated monocytes and macrophages.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the role of EGF, GDF15, and neopterin in predicting CKD progression in pediatric patients.
  • To develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) model for assessing CKD advancement using these biomarkers.
  • To elucidate the contribution of inflammatory processes to declining renal function in pediatric CKD.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 151 children with CKD stages 1-5 was studied.
  • Serum concentrations of EGF, GDF15, and neopterin were measured using ELISA.
  • An artificial neural network (ANN) model was trained using patient data, including anthropometric, biochemical, and biomarker values.

Main Results:

  • The most accurate AI model incorporated EGF, GDF15, and neopterin serum levels.
  • This model achieved a high accuracy of 96.77% in classifying patients into CKD stages 1-3 or 4-5.
  • The AI model demonstrated excellent predictive capability for CKD progression.

Conclusions:

  • Serum concentrations of EGF, GDF15, and neopterin, when analyzed by an AI model, can effectively predict CKD progression in children.
  • The findings highlight the critical role of inflammation in the decline of renal function in pediatric CKD.
  • This AI-driven approach offers a promising tool for monitoring and managing pediatric CKD.

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