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Association between short-term exposure to PM2.5 and its components and mumps incidence in Lanzhou, China
Zixuan Zou1, Zhenjuan Li1, Donghua Li2
1Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Abstract:
To date, a limited number of studies have assessed the impact of individual and combined PM2.5 components on mumps incidence. Between 2013 and 2019, we collected data on 6270 mumps cases in Lanzhou, along with corresponding PM2.5 and its components, to analyze their temporal and spatial distributions. A generalized additive mixed model was constructed to examine the association between PM2.5 components and mumps incidence. Additionally, Bayesian kernel machine regression was used to evaluate the combined and interactive effects of co-exposure to PM2.5 components on mumps incidence and to identify key contributing components. A significant linear correlation was found between PM2.5 and mumps incidence at lag 1 month, with a relative risk (RR) of 1.85 (95 % CI: 1.14, 3.02) for each unit increase in PM2.5 (log-transformed PM2.5 concentration). Organic matter (OM) at lag 0 and 1 month, as well as black carbon (BC) at lag 1 month, were significantly positively correlated with mumps incidence. Furthermore, the joint exposure-effect curve for PM2.5 components and mumps incidence displayed an approximate V-shape. The effects of PM2.5 and its components on mumps incidence were more pronounced during the warm season. These findings suggest a significant association between short-term exposure to PM2.5 and its components and mumps incidence in Lanzhou, with potential variations in effect depending on the specific components of PM2.5.
Insights
Short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and its components like organic matter and black carbon are linked to increased mumps incidence. These associations were stronger during warmer months.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Air Pollution Research
Background:
- Limited research exists on the impact of specific fine particulate matter (PM2.5) components on mumps incidence.
- Understanding these associations is crucial for public health interventions targeting airborne disease transmission.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between individual and combined PM2.5 components and mumps incidence in Lanzhou.
- To analyze the temporal and spatial patterns of PM2.5 components and mumps cases.
- To identify key PM2.5 components and their interactive effects contributing to mumps incidence.
Main Methods:
- Data collection on 6270 mumps cases and PM2.5 components in Lanzhou from 2013-2019.
- Application of generalized additive mixed models to assess associations.
- Utilized Bayesian kernel machine regression for evaluating combined and interactive effects of co-exposure.
Main Results:
- A significant positive correlation was found between PM2.5 concentration and mumps incidence (lag 1 month, RR=1.85).
- Organic matter (OM) and black carbon (BC) showed significant positive associations with mumps incidence at specific lags.
- Joint exposure analysis revealed a V-shaped effect, with effects more pronounced in the warm season.
Conclusions:
- Short-term exposure to PM2.5 and its components (OM, BC) is significantly associated with increased mumps incidence in Lanzhou.
- The specific components of PM2.5 play a role in mumps risk, with varying effects.
- Findings highlight the need to consider air quality in public health strategies for mumps prevention.
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