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STAGE framework: A stock dynamic anomaly detection and trend prediction model based on graph attention network and
Ming Shi1, Roznim Mohamad Rasli1, Shir Li Wang1
1Faculty of Computing and Meta-Technology, Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris, Tanjong Malim, Perak, Malaysia.
Plos One
|March 17, 2025
Summary
The STAGE framework improves stock prediction and anomaly detection using Graph Attention Networks (GAT), Variational Autoencoders (VAE), and Sparse Spatiotemporal Convolutional Networks (STCN). It achieves 85% accuracy in stock prediction and 95% in anomaly detection, outperforming existing methods.
Area of Science:
- Financial technology
- Machine learning in finance
- Data science
Background:
- Financial markets are increasingly complex, demanding advanced tools for risk management.
- Existing stock prediction and anomaly detection methods struggle with intricate inter-stock relationships and data anomalies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce the STAGE framework for enhanced stock prediction and robust anomaly detection.
- To address the limitations of current financial data analysis techniques.
Main Methods:
- Integration of Graph Attention Network (GAT), Variational Autoencoder (VAE), and Sparse Spatiotemporal Convolutional Network (STCN) into the STAGE framework.
- Utilizing a combination of deep learning architectures for spatiotemporal analysis and pattern recognition.
Main Results:
- The STAGE framework achieved 85% accuracy in stock prediction after 20 epochs, surpassing other models by 10-20%.
- Achieved 95% accuracy in anomaly detection, demonstrating fast convergence and stability.
- The framework proved effective in handling complex financial market dynamics.
Conclusions:
- The STAGE framework provides an innovative and effective solution for stock prediction and anomaly detection in complex financial markets.
- The integrated approach enhances accuracy and robustness compared to existing methods.
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