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A structured coalescent model reveals deep ancestral structure shared by all modern humans
Trevor Cousins1, Aylwyn Scally1, Richard Durbin2
1Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Nature Genetics
|March 19, 2025
Summary
Modern human origins involve ancient admixture events. A new model reveals two ancestral populations mixed ~300,000 years ago, with one ancestral group linked to Neanderthals and Denisovans.
Area of Science:
- Human evolutionary genetics
- Population genetics
- Ancient DNA analysis
Background:
- Understanding human origins requires analyzing admixture events and population size changes.
- Coalescence-based models are crucial for inferring demographic histories.
- Previous models have limitations in representing complex ancestral population dynamics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel coalescence-based hidden Markov model, cobraa.
- To explicitly model ancestral population split and rejoin events.
- To apply the model to simulated and real genomic data across species.
Main Methods:
- Development of cobraa, a coalescence-based hidden Markov model.
- Application of cobraa to simulated datasets for validation.
- Analysis of real genomic data from multiple species, including modern humans.
Main Results:
- Evidence for an extended period of structure in modern human history.
- An admixture event between two ancestral populations around 300,000 years ago in an ~80:20 ratio.
- A strong bottleneck detected in the major ancestral population shortly after divergence.
- Genomic regions from the minority ancestral population correlate with distance to coding sequences, suggesting negative selection.
- Majority ancestry regions show strong correlation with human-archaic hominin divergence, indicating its ancestral link to Neanderthals and Denisovans.
Conclusions:
- The study provides a new computational tool (cobraa) for detailed demographic inference.
- Modern humans evolved from a structured ancestral population with a significant admixture event.
- The findings shed light on the evolutionary pressures and ancestral components shaping the human genome, including links to archaic hominins.
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