[Cancer incidence, mortality and trends among elderly in Hebei province, 2011-2020]

Objective: With the aggravation of population aging, the burden of malignant tumors in the elderly population is becoming more and more heavy. This study aims to analyze the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the elderly population in Hebei Province in the past decade. Methods: The incidence and mortality data of malignant tumors in people aged ≥60 years old in 38 cancer registration areas in Hebei Province from 2011 to 2020 were collected, and the incidence and mortality were analyzed by gender, urban and rural areas, and age groups. The age standardized rates were calculated using the 2000 Chinese population census and Segi's world population. The trend of incidence and mortality was analyzed using the Joinpoint model and the average annual percent change (AAPC). Results: From 2011 to 2020, 216 200 new cases of malignant tumors were reported in the elderly population in the cancer registration areas of Hebei Province, and 170 700 deaths were reported. The peak ages of incident cases number for males and females were 65-69 years old and 60-64 years old, respectively. The crude incidence rate of malignant tumors in the elderly was 905.42/10⁵, and the crude mortality rate was 714.96/10⁵. In general, the incidence and mortality in rural areas were higher than those in urban areas, and the incidence and mortality in males were higher than those in females. The peak ages of incidence and mortality were 80-84 years old and 85+ years old, respectively. From 2011 to 2020, lung cancer, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, female breast cancer, and colorectal cancer were the main malignant tumors of incidence rate in the elderly population in Hebei Province, and lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, esophageal cancer, and colorectal cancer were the main malignant tumors in the mortality rate. From 2011 to 2020, the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the elderly population in Hebei Province showed a decreasing trend, and AAPC for the age-standardized incidence and mortality were -4.69% and -5.53%, respectively. The rank of incidence and mortality rate of each cancer had changed, but the top two were still lung cancer and stomach cancer. Conclusions: The incidence and mortality of cancer in the elderly population in Hebei province have decreased, but the burden is still heavy. Lung cancer and stomach cancer are still the focus of prevention and treatment in the elderly population in Hebei province.