Survival after heart transplants from circulatory-dead versus brain-dead donors: Meta-analysis of reconstructed

Mohammed Al-Tawil1, William Wang2, Ashwini Chandiramani3

  • 1Department of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgery, Heart Center Trier, Krankenhaus der Barmherzigen Brüder, Trier, Germany; Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery Research, Lankenau Institute for Medical Research, Wynnewood, PA, USA.

Insights

Heart transplantation using donors after circulatory death (DCD) shows similar early survival to donation after brain (DBD) recipients. However, DCD heart transplants demonstrate a trend toward lower long-term survival, becoming apparent around three years post-surgery.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Transplantation Medicine
  • Medical Statistics

Background:

  • Donation after circulatory death (DCD) heart transplantation (HTx) offers potential to increase organ availability.
  • Comparing DCD HTx with donation after brain (DBD) HTx is crucial for understanding long-term outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To reconstruct individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier survival curves.
  • To compare long-term survival rates between DCD and DBD heart transplant recipients.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic literature search of MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus databases.
  • Digitization of Kaplan-Meier curves and reconstruction of individual patient data.
  • Survival analysis using time-varying flexible parametric models and landmark analyses in R software.

Main Results:

  • Analysis of six studies with 3240 patients (998 DCD, 2242 DBD).
  • Initial analysis showed no significant difference in overall survival (HR: 1.01, P=0.91), but violated proportional hazard assumption.
  • Time-varying models indicated significantly declining DCD recipient survival from 3 years post-surgery, with landmark analyses showing increased HR at 2 and 4 years.

Conclusions:

  • DCD heart transplants exhibit similar early survival but a trend towards reduced long-term survival compared to DBD.
  • The survival difference becomes statistically significant around three years post-transplantation.
  • Enhanced post-transplant monitoring and care for DCD recipients are recommended; further long-term studies are needed.
Abstract