Burden of disease and risk factors for primary liver cancer by etiology in the United States, 1990-2021: Results from the Global Burden of Disease study, 2021

  • 0Department of Oncology, Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410119, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Liver cancer burden in the US increased from 1990 to 2021, driven by Hepatitis C virus and rapidly growing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Targeted strategies are needed.

Area Of Science

  • Hepatology and Gastroenterology
  • Cancer Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background

  • Liver cancer (LC) incidence and causes in the US have undergone significant shifts.
  • Understanding these temporal trends is crucial for effective public health interventions.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To analyze recent temporal trends in the etiologies of liver cancer in the US from 1990 to 2021.
  • To predict future trends in liver cancer burden.

Main Methods

  • Utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study for US liver cancer.
  • Employed linear regression to calculate Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC).
  • Applied Exponential Smoothing (ES) and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models for future projections.

Main Results

  • The overall disease burden of liver cancer in the US was substantially higher in 2021 compared to 1990.
  • Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated liver cancer represented the largest disease burden.
  • Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-associated liver cancer exhibited the fastest-growing burden.
  • Higher disease burdens were observed in older individuals and males.

Conclusions

  • The disease burden of liver cancer from various etiologies continues to escalate in the US.
  • Development of targeted prevention and control strategies is essential to address the specific characteristics of these rising liver cancer burdens.

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