Predicting hemorrhagic transformation in acute ischemic stroke: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and...

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity, with hemorrhagic transformation (HT) as a severe complication. Accurate prediction of HT is essential for optimizing treatment strategies. This review assesses the accuracy and utility of deep learning (DL) and radiomics in predicting HT through imaging, regarding clinical decision-making for AIS patients. A literature search was conducted across five databases (Pubmed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, IEEE) up to January 23, 2025. Studies involving DL or radiomics-based ML models for predicting HT in AIS patients were included. Data from training, validation, and clinical-combined models were extracted and analyzed separately. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were calculated with a random-effects bivariate model. For the quality assessment of studies, the Methodological Radiomics Score (METRICS) and QUADAS-2 tool were used. 16 studies consisting of 3,083 individual participants were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled AUC for training cohorts was 0.87, sensitivity 0.80, and specificity 0.85. For validation cohorts, AUC was 0.87, sensitivity 0.81, and specificity 0.86. Clinical-combined models showed an AUC of 0.93, sensitivity 0.84, and specificity 0.89. Moderate to severe heterogeneity was noted and addressed. Deep-learning models outperformed radiomics models, while clinical-combined models outperformed deep learning-only and radiomics-only models. The average METRICS score was 62.85%. No publication bias was detected. DL and radiomics models showed great potential in predicting HT in AIS patients. However, addressing methodological issues-such as inconsistent reference standards and limited external validation-is essential for the clinical implementation of these models.