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The other climate crisis.

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Area of Science:

  • Climate science
  • Earth system science
  • Environmental science

Background:

  • The standard approach in climate science relies on separating spatial scales.
  • Regional climate signals are accumulating with global warming.
  • Discrepancies are emerging between observed signals and standard model predictions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To articulate the dominant paradigm (standard approach) in climate science.
  • To identify emerging discrepancies and disruptions in climate modeling.
  • To discuss policy implications and future research directions.

Main Methods:

  • Reviewing the dominant paradigm in climate science.
  • Analyzing accumulating regional climate signals and anomalies.
  • Examining disruptive computational approaches and new paradigms.

Main Results:

  • The standard approach, based on scale separation, faces increasing discrepancies with observed warming.
  • New computational methods are challenging existing climate science paradigms.
  • A potential 'crisis' in climate science is characterized by anomalies and paradigm disruption.

Conclusions:

  • Observed climate signals challenge the assumptions of the standard approach.
  • Future research should focus on testing assumptions with real-world data.
  • Revitalizing conceptual thinking is needed to bridge gaps across climate system components and scales.